Prediction Alpha

Overview

Fully autonomous prediction market trading system with 4 scanners: sportsbook oracle, systematic NO bias, whale tracker, and arb scanner. Self-calibrating via Brier scores with Kelly criterion position sizing.

The Problem

Prediction markets are inefficient. Odds move slowly vs new information, and manual monitoring is impossible at scale. Most retail traders rely on gut feel.

The Solution

Automated trading with 4 scanners for different market edges. Self-reviewing agent adjusts conviction based on Brier score calibration. Circuit breaker risk management built in.

Key Results

Tech Stack